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Land strategy / Development intelligence

Value the development.
Understand the parcel.

A landowner in a long-running assemblage needed to understand how the parcel changed the value of the larger development.

Asset
Land parcel
Setting
Dense urban assemblage
Approach
Residual land value
Decision
Development & negotiation
Client objective

Establish a negotiating position grounded in the wider development.

What the work established

Including the parcel changed the modeled development economics and available pathways.

Decision supported

A residual-value framework for comparing pathways and defending the owner’s position.

01 / Client question

What needed answering?

The owner held a parcel within an active assemblage. The central question was how its inclusion could change the development opportunity and what that relationship meant for a defensible negotiating position.

02 / Evidence

Connect program choices and land value.

The analysis examined assemblage activity, the development program and alternative pathways. A concept study helped make the relationship between design decisions and land value explicit.

A concept study made the connection between development choices and land value explicit.Concept sketch connecting the physical development and the value proposition. Original engagement exhibit.
03 / Analysis

Compare the development pathways.

Three strategic pathways, Proceed, Participate and Parlay, were modeled using residual land value analysis. The work compared the development with and without the parcel, and examined how a redesigned program could change the larger economic opportunity.

The working model connected income, costs and required return to development residual value.Working assumptions from the residual land value analysis. These are engagement model inputs. Selected assumption rows retypeset from the original working model. Subject quantities, financial totals and location withheld.
04 / Decision & outcome

What changed?

A negotiating position grounded in development value.

The proposed path kept the owner’s alternatives open and grounded the negotiating position in the wider development economics. The parcel transaction closed at the modeled parcel value.

The modeled development premium and the parcel transaction value answer different valuation questions.

Working through a similar decision?

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for your next move?

Tell us the outcome you are pursuing, the asset or portfolio, and the uncertainty you need to resolve.

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